Forecast update:
The old saying goes… if March comes in like a lion; it will go out like a lamb.
Overall the end of February and the beginning of March look very active over the eastern US. With a persistent trough; that means cold air with a very active storm track. Looks like winter plans on going out with a bang. Better than it came in that’s for sure. The next 7 days are going to be one heck of a roller coaster with just about every type of weather and temperature you can imagine. So we’ll start in chronological order.
This weekend: Cold nights the next 2 nights and still a stray flurry is possible today into early Saturday before the moisture all dries up. The Virginias we see more clouds and a few more flurries right through Saturday. Sunday is when things start to warm up pretty quickly with highs possibly getting up near the lower 50’s in the North Carolina mountains. The good news is with the recent 1-2†snow and cold temps for snowmaking the slopes will be ideal this weekend. Plus you’ll have sunny skies and mild temperatures out there both Saturday and Sunday.
Late Sunday highs clouds will begin to move in and maybe even some light rain, because temperatures are still warm Sunday night. Monday starts out with more rain and mixing with some snow way up top. As the day goes on Monday the rain will change from Rain to snow as colder air filters in from the Northwest.
Now the Monday night to Tuesday time frame is where things could and let me repeat could be interesting. The cold air will be fully entrenched across the region and there will be some snow, the amount of snow if where the questions arise. The front and storm which brought the cold air…. blows up near the coast and moves up the East coast towards the big cities of the I-95 corridor. The question is how much moisture and energy will be left back over the Southeast and mid Atlantic to produce big snows. Until I see for sure I’ll stick with a 2-4†snow accumulations from late Monday through late Tuesday for North Carolina high country and 4-6†for the Virginias.
Then if that wasn’t fun enough another shot of cold air with a clipper system comes down in the Northwest flow Thursday into Friday next week. This could add some more snow. Not a bunch but your now the typically 1-3†powdery snow with more wind and cold then snow.
Good Skiing and enjoy another fine February weekend. Boy the weekends have been pretty good lately.
Brad