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Re: El Nino 2015-2016

Posted: Fri Dec 04, 2015 2:32 pm
by jt3
you aint kidding KD. we need some change in this pattern! all the way thru the 18th its not looking too good for snow making.

Re: El Nino 2015-2016

Posted: Tue Dec 08, 2015 8:49 am
by theKENDOG
There is hope for January and February.


Re: El Nino 2015-2016

Posted: Tue Dec 08, 2015 10:04 am
by jeffryc
I caused this. Every other year I've gone west in December before Christmas. This year I decided to go to Snowshoe December 19-22. I guess I can work on my tan. And I've never really spent much time on the Skidder lift before. Should be special :)

Re: El Nino 2015-2016

Posted: Tue Dec 08, 2015 10:13 am
by Once/year
GFS Runs are beginning to show frozen precip sliding through on the 21st and 22nd. The moisture is westerly, so maybe not too plentiful. But on the Christmas Eve, you can see precip crawling in from the SW. If it can stay cold enough (and from the run, looks like snow in Alabama first, so should definitely be cold enough for snow in WNC), a southwesterly moisture jet could create a big dump.

It's a long ways out, but here's to hoping.

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... 0&ypos=195

Re: El Nino 2015-2016

Posted: Tue Dec 08, 2015 11:41 am
by theKENDOG
Once/year wrote:GFS Runs are beginning to show frozen precip sliding through on the 21st and 22nd. The moisture is westerly, so maybe not too plentiful. But on the Christmas Eve, you can see precip crawling in from the SW. If it can stay cold enough (and from the run, looks like snow in Alabama first, so should definitely be cold enough for snow in WNC), a southwesterly moisture jet could create a big dump.

It's a long ways out, but here's to hoping.

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... 0&ypos=195
I would take a forecast from the GFS for 13-14 days out with a HUGE grain of salt. Especially when you compare it with the ensembles.

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... 0&ypos=195

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis ... 0&ypos=249

Re: El Nino 2015-2016

Posted: Tue Dec 08, 2015 5:15 pm
by Once/year
10-4. Huge grain of salt taken.

Tastes like hope.

Re: El Nino 2015-2016

Posted: Tue Dec 08, 2015 10:15 pm
by davidski
jeffryc wrote:I caused this. Every other year I've gone west in December before Christmas. This year I decided to go to Snowshoe December 19-22.

you have always been trouble

Re: El Nino 2015-2016

Posted: Tue Dec 08, 2015 10:21 pm
by davidski

OK I don't completely understand it but that is the scariest cartoon I have ever seen, there should be a warning or something... evil animation

Why did I gloat over our prospects in September? ..and called out the PNW, shame

Re: El Nino 2015-2016

Posted: Mon Mar 14, 2016 1:26 am
by skipanther
This Winter was way too short,a mini ice age would really be nice but it's only wishful thinking! :x

Re: El Nino 2015-2016

Posted: Mon Mar 14, 2016 1:32 am
by yardsale
tahoe hit it right around mid-march, no complaints from me